Value
5.7/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.0 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.0 |
| PEG | 3.2 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.1x
- ▸PEG: 3.78
FIZZ · Why this verdict
Why National Beverage (FIZZ) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 10.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.5 |
| Op margin | 7.7 |
| Net margin | 7.9 |
| Current ratio | 8.6 |
| FCF quality | 4.9 |
| Moat | 6.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 38%
- ▸Strong margins: 16%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 64% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
2.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.3 |
| EPS growth | 3.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -1%
Momentum
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 3.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 5.6 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 4.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.1 |
| quality rank | 7.3 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
3.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.3 |
| support resistance | 3.1 |
| 52w position | 5.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.5 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 4.3 |
| put call | 6.7 |
| implied vol | 3.6 |
| beta | 8.6 |
| debt equity | 9.6 |
Catalyst
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 1.7 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 0B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (8)
- MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- DEATH_CROSS:QUALITY_MOMENTUM_EXEMPT
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:24d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-2.7=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:quality=7.6>=7.5+momentum=6.4>=5.0 exempted
Reward-to-Risk
-2.68
Upside
-18.5%
Downside
6.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.4B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5. Top dim: Quality at 7.6; weakest: Growth at 2.6. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 7.6, Momentum at 6.4, and Value at 5.7; the weakest are Growth at 2.6, Catalyst at 2.9, and Peer rank at 3.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.68 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.