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FIGRFigure Technology Solutions, InHold6.3·$28.39+1.13%
FIGR · Why this verdict

Why Figure Technology Solutions, In (FIGR) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.2/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E3.8
P/S2.0
Fwd P/E6.4
PEG10.0
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 20.2x
  • PEG: 0.29

Quality

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE7.2
ROA2.6
Gross margin10.0
Op margin9.9
Net margin10.0
Current ratio6.7
FCF quality3.5
Moat7.5
Rule of 409.5
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong margins: 35%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: 44% FCF/NI
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 119% YoY

Momentum

3.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.0
MACD0.0
OBV10.0
MA position2.5
Volume2.9
  • Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)

Sentiment

7.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment6.5
Analyst rating6.8
Price target10.0
  • Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 90%

Insider

3.5/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality3.0
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.5
  • Notable insider selling — $18,551,768 (0.299% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.5/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank1.4
quality rank7.5
growth rank8.9
  • Best-in-class margins
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.0
support resistance9.4
52w position0.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.3
days to cover8.5
volatility0.0
put call8.4
implied vol0.0
debt equity5.0
  • High IV: 93%
  • Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
news activity5.0

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:4.6>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:63d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:3.7<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
4.58
Upside
+65.7%
Downside
14.4%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:4.6>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Insider at 3.5. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 7.7, and Quality at 7.5; the weakest are Insider at 3.5, Momentum at 3.7, and Peer rank at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.58 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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