Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $3.39
- Estimate
- $3.30
- Surprise
- +2.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $8.75B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.7 → 5.7/10
Revenue source: mixed.
How the report landed
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) beat the $3.30 estimate with adjusted EPS of $3.39 — a modest 2.8% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.7/10) to Hold at 5.7/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FERG Sell at 5.3/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +2.8% surprise compares with a +7.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-09.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Positive insider activity
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%)
- Thin upside margin: 6.1%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $240.45
- Price target
- $255.03
- Stop
- $228.51
- Upside to target
- +6.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.5:1
The stock trades at 23.7× trailing but 18.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 81 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FERG at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Industrial Distribution
- Market cap
- $46.52B
- P/E (fwd)
- 18.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 23.7
- 52-week range
- $212.13–$271.64
- Off 52-week high
- 11.5%
- RSI (14)
- 81
- Volume vs avg
- 0.71×
- Score today
- 5.3/10