National Vision Holdings (EYE) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.25
- Estimate
- $0.18
- Surprise
- +37.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-04)
- $498.8M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 5.7/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
National Vision Holdings (EYE) beat the $0.18 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.25 — a large 37.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.9/10) to Sell at 5.7/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates EYE Sell at 6.0/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +37.4% surprise compares with a +47.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $15.46
- Price target
- $23.93
- Stop
- $14.47
- Upside to target
- +54.8%
- Reward-to-risk
- 5.1:1
The stock trades at 24.9× trailing but 12.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.1× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
EYE at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Market cap
- $1.22B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 24.9
- 52-week range
- $14.75–$30.02
- Off 52-week high
- 48.5%
- RSI (14)
- 40
- Volume vs avg
- 2.11×
- Score today
- 6.0/10