Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $3.45
- Estimate
- $3.35
- Surprise
- +2.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $1.09B
- Score today
- 4.9/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Erie Indemnity (ERIE) beat the $3.35 estimate with diluted EPS of $3.45 — a modest 2.9% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ERIE Hold at 4.9/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +2.9% surprise compares with a +18.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: Erie Insurance Exchange
- Concentration risk — Product: personal lines (71.0%)
- Weak overall score: 4.9/10
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $245.03
- Price target
- $266.04
- Stop
- $229.13
- Upside to target
- +8.6%
The stock trades at 22.2× trailing but 17.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ERIE at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance Brokers
- Market cap
- $12.81B
- P/E (fwd)
- 17.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 22.2
- 52-week range
- $204.63–$341.71
- Off 52-week high
- 28.3%
- RSI (14)
- 30
- Volume vs avg
- 0.53×
- Score today
- 4.9/10