Value
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.3 |
| P/S | 8.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.4 |
| PEG | 6.6 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.3x
- ▸PEG: 1.10
- ▸Attractively valued
EOG · Why this verdict
Why EOG Resources (EOG) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.8/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.1 |
| ROA | 6.0 |
| Gross margin | 8.4 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.1 |
| FCF quality | 4.1 |
| Moat | 8.4 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 23%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 52% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
8.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.4 |
| EPS growth | 9.9 |
Momentum
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 7.7 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.1 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $2,044,997 (0.003% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.0 |
| quality rank | 6.4 |
| growth rank | 5.4 |
Technical
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.9 |
| support resistance | 4.8 |
| 52w position | 8.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.1 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 5.7 |
| put call | 9.7 |
| implied vol | 5.9 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 8.9 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.7 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 296.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.10, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.2/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:60d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.7<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.74
Upside
+4.6%
Downside
6.2%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 46, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityCONSERVATIVE — Beta 0.26<0.8, Div 296.0%, Q=7.7
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 7.7 and growth 8.2 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 0.74 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.2, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8, and Quality at 7.7; the weakest are Peer rank at 4.0, Insider at 5.0, and Technical at 6.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.74 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.