Value
8.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.3 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.4 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.4x
- ▸Attractively valued
DFH · Why this verdict
Why Dream Finders Homes (DFH) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score3.5/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.8 |
| ROA | 2.3 |
| Gross margin | 0.1 |
| Op margin | 0.8 |
| Net margin | 2.1 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 3.1 |
| Piotroski F | 2.2 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -26% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
0.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -10%
Momentum
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.6 |
| MACD | 6.5 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 4.1 |
Insider
3.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $1,905,215 (0.143% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.4 |
| quality rank | 1.9 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.1 |
| support resistance | 4.7 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 2.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 3.8 |
| debt equity | 4.6 |
- ▸High short interest: 42%
- ▸High IV: 102%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.4<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
14.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.87>1.3, MCap $1.3B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 8.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.4<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.8, Sentiment at 4.6, and Peer rank at 4.1; the weakest are Growth at 0.0, Catalyst at 2.1, and Quality at 2.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.