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DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.Sell5.4·$15.66+0.00%
DBRG · Why this verdict

Why DigitalBridge Group (DBRG) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

2.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/E4.4
P/S0.0
Fwd P/E2.8
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 39.1x
  • Expensive valuation

Quality

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.0
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Current ratio4.1
FCF quality0.0
Moat7.2
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F6.7
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -28% FCF/NI
  • Rule of 40: 24 (fail)

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 59% YoY

Momentum

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD3.8
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume3.7
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target5.3
erm sentiment5.0

Insider

5.9/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.8
notable moves7.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.3
quality rank5.3
growth rank9.3
  • Best-in-class margins
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.3
support resistance4.3
52w position9.9

Risk (lower is worse)

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest5.0
days to cover5.5
volatility10.0
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta5.1
debt equity9.5
  • High IV: 99%
  • Above max pain $5

Catalyst

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Dividend: 26.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.7=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-0.74
Upside
-11.1%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.47>1.3, MCap $2.9B<$5B

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Value at 2.6. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Technical at 6.8, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.0; the weakest are Value at 2.6, Momentum at 4.0, and Peer rank at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.74 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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