CTO Realty Growth (CTO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.06
- Estimate
- $0.10
- Surprise
- -41.0%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $46.9M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.5 → 6.3/10
Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).
How the report landed
CTO Realty Growth (CTO) missed the $0.10 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.06 — a large 41.0% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.5/10) to Hold at 6.3/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates CTO Hold at 6.2/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -41.0% surprise compares with a +1366.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-18.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Property Type: shopping centers
- Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $19.14
- Price target
- $21.40
- Stop
- $18.12
- Upside to target
- +11.8%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.2:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (30.7× forward vs 17.0× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
CTO at TrendMatrix's latest read
REIT quarters hinge on occupancy, rate exposure, and FFO rather than headline EPS, which mechanically distorts under depreciation.
- Industry
- REIT - Diversified
- Market cap
- $713.3M
- P/E (fwd)
- 30.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 17.0
- 52-week range
- $16.38–$22.71
- Off 52-week high
- 15.7%
- RSI (14)
- 34
- Volume vs avg
- 0.04×
- Score today
- 6.2/10