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CSTMConstellium SESell6.7·$24.43

Constellium (CSTM) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-4.3% vs estimateEPS $0.72 vs $0.75 estCurrent verdict Sell 6.7/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.72
Estimate
$0.75
Surprise
-4.3%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$2.64B
Score today
6.7/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Constellium (CSTM) missed the $0.75 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.72 — a clear 4.3% shortfall.

Current read · as of 2026-10-29

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates CSTM Sell at 6.7/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -4.3% surprise compares with a +67.9% four-quarter average.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
  • Attractive valuation

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (56.0%)
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
  • Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$24.43
Price target
$29.09
Stop
$22.72
Upside to target
+19.1%
Reward-to-risk
2.6:1

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (8.8× forward vs 6.0× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.7× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Basic Materials context

CSTM at TrendMatrix's latest read

Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.

Industry
Aluminum
Market cap
$3.31B
P/E (fwd)
8.8
P/E (ttm)
6.0
52-week range
$14.62–$36.99
Off 52-week high
34.0%
RSI (14)
40
Volume vs avg
2.70×
Score today
6.7/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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