Skip to main content
CRCrane CompanySell5.4·$192.74+2.05%
CR · Why this verdict

Why Crane (CR) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E3.6
P/S7.2
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E4.9
PEG4.0
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 25.4x
  • PEG: 2.57

Quality

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.5
ROA6.0
Gross margin4.9
Op margin9.9
Net margin6.7
Current ratio9.5
FCF quality5.6
Moat6.9
Piotroski F8.9
  • Earnings quality warning: 73% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

4.3/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth8.7
EPS growth0.0
  • Strong growth: 25% YoY

Momentum

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.0
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position7.5
Volume3.1
  • Overbought (RSI 80)
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-MA but MA slope flat/negative + RSI 80 (late-cycle distribution risk)

Sentiment

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating8.0
Price target7.0
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Negligible insider buying — $26,607 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.4/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.8
quality rank6.3
growth rank8.5
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger0.3
support resistance0.7
52w position8.1

Risk (lower is worse)

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.6
days to cover8.8
volatility5.2
put call0.0
implied vol3.4
beta6.5
debt equity7.5
  • Elevated put/call: 4.90

Catalyst

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg7.9
dividend safety5.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/0M
  • Dividend: 53.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • MOMENTUM:6.9>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:48d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (2)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.9>=5.0 recovering
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.06
Upside
-0.8%
Downside
14.3%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Quality at 7.1) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-0.1=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.06 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 7.1, Momentum at 6.9, and Sentiment at 6.9; the weakest are Technical at 3.0, Value at 4.0, and Growth at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.06 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

Home Stocks CR Why this verdict