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CMCanadian Imperial Bank of CommeHold5.6·$109.52+0.62%
CM · Why this verdict

Why Canadian Imperial Bank of Comme (CM) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.4/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.0
P/S8.0
Fwd P/E8.4
PEG4.4
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 13.7x
  • PEG: 2.10

Quality

5.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE5.1
ROA0.6
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Moat5.9
Piotroski F4.4
  • Strong margins: 34%

Growth

6.5/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth6.3
EPS growth6.8

Momentum

2.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.1
Price target5.2
erm sentiment5.4
  • Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.9
quality rank7.1
growth rank7.6

Technical

7.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.5
support resistance6.7
52w position8.7

Risk (lower is worse)

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover3.1
volatility7.1
put call9.7
implied vol5.2
max pain risk3.0
beta5.9
  • Above max pain $82

Catalyst

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg6.7
dividend safety4.8
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:78d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.5<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-2.7=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-2.72
Upside
-13.6%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Technical at 7.3; weakest: Momentum at 2.5. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 7.3, Growth at 6.5, and Value at 6.4; the weakest are Momentum at 2.5, Insider at 5.0, and Quality at 5.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.72 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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