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CLVTClarivate PlcSell4.7·$2.44+1.24%
CLVT · Why this verdict

Why Clarivate (CLVT) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.4/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/S9.9
EV/EBITDA8.2
Fwd P/E10.0
PEG10.0
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 3.1x
  • PEG: 0.01
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA0.7
Gross margin9.3
Op margin2.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio3.4
FCF quality7.9
Moat4.0
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F5.6
  • FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 19%, FCF yield 30.7%)
  • No competitive moat
  • Rule of 40: 18 (fail)

Growth

2.1/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.1
  • Declining revenue: -1%

Momentum

2.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD3.8
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume2.7
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.5
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 49%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change4.9
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

2.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.4
quality rank1.1
growth rank0.9

Technical

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.6
support resistance8.0
52w position0.2

Risk (lower is worse)

3.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest1.9
days to cover0.0
volatility0.0
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta5.5
debt equity5.6
  • High short interest justified: 16%
  • High IV: 116%
  • Above max pain $0

Catalyst

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/0M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.52
Upside
+29.6%
Downside
11.7%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.37>1.3, MCap $1.5B<$5B

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.4 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.6<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.4, Catalyst at 7.5, and Sentiment at 6.5; the weakest are Growth at 2.1, Peer rank at 2.3, and Momentum at 2.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.52 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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