Value
9.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.8 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.7 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 7.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.42
- ▸Attractively valued
CINT · Why this verdict
Why CI&T (CINT) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
CI&T shows strong growth with revenue up 23% YoY, supporting the bull case despite near-term technical weakness. Growth breakdown | Revenue growth should stay near or above the current 23% YoY pace. | →Stable |
| CounterStrong revenue growth hasn't prevented the stock from falling into a confirmed technical downtrend, suggesting the market may be discounting future growth durability. | ||
CI&T trades at an attractive 7.3x forward P/E with analysts targeting 73-99% upside from current levels. Bull case | The stock should close a meaningful portion of the gap toward its analyst price target of $10, implying roughly 72.6% upside. | →Stable |
| CounterA stock priced for such large upside typically reflects deep pessimism that may not resolve quickly, or the target itself may be stale. | ||
CI&T is in a confirmed downtrend, trading below its 200-day moving average with a -4.8% monthly MA slope and a bearish death-cross technical setup. Bear case | The stock should reclaim its 200-day moving average and flip the MA slope positive to invalidate the downtrend. | →Stable |
| CounterA 2.5x volume surge alongside the selloff, combined with rising OBV, could indicate capitulation selling near a bottom. | ||
The engine's asymmetry check passed strongly at 5.53, with modeled upside of 72.8% against just 13.2% downside. Reward-to-risk math | The asymmetry ratio should remain above 1.5 as the setup continues to favor upside over downside. | →Stable |
| CounterA confirmed technical downtrend can override a favorable modeled asymmetry ratio if the decline continues to accelerate. | ||
CI&T posts a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, indicating robust fundamental financial health despite an earnings quality warning on FCF/NI. Quality breakdown | The Piotroski F-Score should remain at or above 7 over the next several quarters. | →Stable |
| CounterThe earnings quality warning on 60% FCF/NI suggests reported earnings may not be fully backed by cash generation. | ||
CI&T shows strong growth with revenue up 23% YoY, supporting the bull case despite near-term technical weakness.
→StableGrowth breakdown
- Expectation
- Revenue growth should stay near or above the current 23% YoY pace.
CounterStrong revenue growth hasn't prevented the stock from falling into a confirmed technical downtrend, suggesting the market may be discounting future growth durability.
CI&T trades at an attractive 7.3x forward P/E with analysts targeting 73-99% upside from current levels.
→StableBull case
- Expectation
- The stock should close a meaningful portion of the gap toward its analyst price target of $10, implying roughly 72.6% upside.
CounterA stock priced for such large upside typically reflects deep pessimism that may not resolve quickly, or the target itself may be stale.
CI&T is in a confirmed downtrend, trading below its 200-day moving average with a -4.8% monthly MA slope and a bearish death-cross technical setup.
→StableBear case
- Expectation
- The stock should reclaim its 200-day moving average and flip the MA slope positive to invalidate the downtrend.
CounterA 2.5x volume surge alongside the selloff, combined with rising OBV, could indicate capitulation selling near a bottom.
The engine's asymmetry check passed strongly at 5.53, with modeled upside of 72.8% against just 13.2% downside.
→StableReward-to-risk math
- Expectation
- The asymmetry ratio should remain above 1.5 as the setup continues to favor upside over downside.
CounterA confirmed technical downtrend can override a favorable modeled asymmetry ratio if the decline continues to accelerate.
CI&T posts a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, indicating robust fundamental financial health despite an earnings quality warning on FCF/NI.
→StableQuality breakdown
- Expectation
- The Piotroski F-Score should remain at or above 7 over the next several quarters.
CounterThe earnings quality warning on 60% FCF/NI suggests reported earnings may not be fully backed by cash generation.
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
CI&T screens attractively valued with large modeled upside and strong revenue growth, but the stock is in a confirmed downtrend below its 200-day moving average despite a favorable asymmetry setup.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.5 |
| ROA | 4.9 |
| Gross margin | 2.3 |
| Op margin | 4.2 |
| Net margin | 4.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.1 |
| FCF quality | 4.6 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 60% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
6.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.3 |
| EPS growth | 5.3 |
- ▸Strong growth: 23% YoY
Momentum
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 3.6 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 1.5 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 111%
Insider
7.5/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
6.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.5 |
| quality rank | 5.2 |
| growth rank | 6.3 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.8 |
| support resistance | 8.9 |
| 52w position | 0.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.6 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| beta | 8.1 |
| debt equity | 8.4 |
Catalyst
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:5.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:36d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
5.69
Upside
+83.2%
Downside
14.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFalling Knife — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.4B) below institutional reach
SuitabilitySpeculative — Drawdown -46% (>40% off 52w high)
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:5.7>=1.5. Top dim: Value at 9.3; weakest: Momentum at 2.1. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.3, Insider at 7.5, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.2; the weakest are Momentum at 2.1, Catalyst at 4.8, and Quality at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.69 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Attractive Valuation Analyst Upside
Trip ifStock price stays more than 50% below the $10 analyst target for 2 more consecutive quarters.
- P2Downtrend Below 200ma
Trip ifMA slope stays below -3% per 30 days for 2 more consecutive months.
- P3Strong Revenue Growth
Trip ifRevenue growth falls below 10% YoY.
- P4High Asymmetry Ratio
Trip ifAsymmetry ratio falls below 2.0.
- P5Strong Piotroski Fundamentals
Trip ifPiotroski F-Score falls below 6.