Value
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 5.9 |
| P/S | 8.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.6x
- ▸PEG: 0.02
- ▸Attractively valued
CEG · Why this verdict
Why Constellation Energy Corporatio (CEG) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.4 |
| ROA | 2.8 |
| Gross margin | 0.7 |
| Op margin | 8.7 |
| Net margin | 6.3 |
| Current ratio | 5.1 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -118% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 64% YoY
Momentum
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.9 |
| Price target | 9.4 |
| erm sentiment | 5.8 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 45%
Insider
5.1/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.4 |
| quality rank | 7.7 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.3 |
| support resistance | 8.1 |
| 52w position | 2.3 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.2 |
| days to cover | 7.3 |
| volatility | 1.6 |
| put call | 6.6 |
| implied vol | 4.2 |
| beta | 6.6 |
| debt equity | 7.0 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 67.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier -1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1Passed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:3.5>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.2<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
3.53
Upside
+30.7%
Downside
8.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:3.5>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Momentum at 3.2. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 8.2, and Value at 7.5; the weakest are Momentum at 3.2, Catalyst at 3.9, and Quality at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.53 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.