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CBANColony Bankcorp, Inc.Hold6.2·$19.79-1.88%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Colony Bankcorp screens as an attractively valued regional bank with above-trend revenue growth and a bullish insider buying signal, though soft price momentum has tripped the engine's momentum gate and kept the setup from confirming a clean buy.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Vs PegStable
  • Above Trend Revenue GrowthStable
  • Negative Momentum Technical DragStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Colony Bankcorp, Inc. (CBAN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%).

Colony Bankcorp is a bank holding company whose subsidiary Colony Bank provides commercial and retail banking services concentrated in Georgia, Alabama and Florida. The bank's loan portfolio is heavily weighted toward commercial real estate and commercial, financial and... Read more

$19.79+3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#88 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.32%(5y avg 3.05%)Payout29.06%sustainable
Stop $19.07Target $20.51(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$24.13+21.9%2 analysts
$20.51our TP
$19.79price
$24.13mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%)
Thin upside margin: 3.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$432M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn21.7%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth33.9%
Beta0.55
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV95%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, our portfolio of commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans totaled $1.8 billion or 74.4% of total loans compared to $1.4 billion, or 76.5% of total loans at December 31, 2024.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate collateral85%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, approximately 84.5% of our loan portfolio was comprised of loans with real estate as a primary or secondary component of collateral.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicGeorgia, Alabama and Florida
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business and operations are sensitive to general business and economic conditions in the United States, generally, and particularly in the states of Georgia, Alabama and Florida.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.66Resistance $21.36

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBAN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $20.51 (+3.6%), stop $19.07 (−3.8%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.51 (+3.6% upside). Target $20.51 (+3.6%), stop $19.07 (−3.8%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $19.07.

What are the risks of investing in CBAN?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural loans (74.4%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.5%); Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

Is CBAN overvalued or undervalued?

Colony Bankcorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBAN?

8 analysts cover CBAN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Colony Bankcorp, Inc. do?Colony Bankcorp is a bank holding company whose subsidiary Colony Bank provides commercial and retail banking services...

Colony Bankcorp is a bank holding company whose subsidiary Colony Bank provides commercial and retail banking services concentrated in Georgia, Alabama and Florida. The bank's loan portfolio is heavily weighted toward commercial real estate and commercial, financial and agricultural lending, which together totaled $1.8 billion, or 74.4% of total loans, at December 31, 2025, while approximately 84.5% of the entire loan portfolio is secured by real estate as a primary or secondary collateral component.

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