Value
3.4/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 0.0 |
| P/S | 5.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 1.0 |
| PEG | 4.4 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 96.1x
- ▸PEG: 2.12
CAVA · Why this verdict
Why CAVA Group (CAVA) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.9 |
| ROA | 2.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.5 |
| Op margin | 2.6 |
| Net margin | 2.7 |
| Current ratio | 8.9 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -32% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 32% YoY
Momentum
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 5.6 |
| MA position | 3.0 |
| Volume | 0.3 |
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 8.3 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.70 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 26%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $1,258,870 (0.015% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.3 |
| quality rank | 2.5 |
| growth rank | 9.5 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.2 |
| support resistance | 8.3 |
| 52w position | 4.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.9 |
| days to cover | 5.7 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 9.7 |
| implied vol | 2.5 |
| beta | 4.3 |
| debt equity | 7.3 |
- ▸High IV: 65%
Catalyst
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.70
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:75d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.2<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.18
Upside
+13.8%
Downside
11.7%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.71>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.6 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 10.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5, ASYMMETRY:1.2<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.18 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 8.1, and Technical at 6.9; the weakest are Momentum at 2.9, Value at 3.4, and Peer rank at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.18 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.