Value
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.7 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.0 |
| PEG | 5.6 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.9x
- ▸PEG: 1.36
CAKE · Why this verdict
Why The Cheesecake Factory Incorpor (CAKE) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 3.0 |
| Gross margin | 4.1 |
| Op margin | 2.3 |
| Net margin | 2.2 |
| Current ratio | 2.4 |
| FCF quality | 5.8 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 41%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 78% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
7.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.9 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.4 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 5.1 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 4.3 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 71)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.1 |
| erm sentiment | 5.6 |
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $6,835,389 (0.208% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.9 |
| quality rank | 4.2 |
| growth rank | 3.0 |
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.6 |
| support resistance | 0.9 |
| 52w position | 9.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 10.0 |
| days to cover | 3.6 |
| volatility | 3.8 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 4.4 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 6.8 |
| debt equity | 0.3 |
- ▸Short squeeze setup: 34% short, quality 7.5
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.67
- ▸Above max pain $35
Catalyst
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.8 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 181.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.6=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.61
Upside
-9.1%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.3B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 1.8 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 7.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-0.6=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.61 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 7.0, Momentum at 6.4, and Value at 6.1; the weakest are Insider at 3.4, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.0, and Technical at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.61 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.