Burlington Stores (BURL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.96
- Estimate
- $2.19
- Surprise
- +35.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-08-01)
- $3.00B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.3 → 5.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Burlington Stores (BURL) beat the $2.19 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.96 — a large 35.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.3/10) to Sell at 5.0/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates BURL Sell at 5.5/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +35.4% surprise compares with a +13.1% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-27.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Strong growth profile
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $239.50
- Price target
- $328.28
- Stop
- $229.19
- Upside to target
- +37.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.7:1
The stock trades at 21.5× trailing but 17.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 13 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
BURL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Apparel Retail
- Market cap
- $15.02B
- P/E (fwd)
- 17.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 21.5
- 52-week range
- $236.28–$378.33
- Off 52-week high
- 36.7%
- RSI (14)
- 13
- Volume vs avg
- 0.78×
- Score today
- 5.5/10