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BUIBlackRock Utility, InfrastructuSell6.0·$26.43
BUI · Why this verdict

Why BlackRock Utility, Infrastructu (BUI) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis

Engine thesis — one sentence

BlackRock Utility, Infrastructure & Power is a $0.7B closed-end fund with a 7.2% dividend scoring 9/10 for safety, but quality scores 0.9/10 and the weak technical setup limits the case for adding.

Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.

Thesis pillars

Business quality scores 0.9/10, below the 4.0 minimum, with margins and the Piotroski F-Score (0/9) at zero.

→Stable
Bear case
Expectation
Quality score rises above 4.0 as data coverage improves over 12 months.

CounterFunds have no gross or operating margins, so the zero scores may reflect missing data rather than weak economics.

The fund pays a 7.2% dividend with a safety component of 9.0/10, which is the strongest part of the case.

→Stable
Catalyst breakdown
Expectation
The 7.2% yield is maintained without a distribution cut over 12 months.

CounterThe dividend safety reading has only 0.25 confidence, so the 9.0/10 score may be unreliable.

The fund scores 10/10 on P/E value and 8.4/10 in peer value rank, suggesting it is cheap.

Tripped→Stable
Valuation breakdown
Expectation
Value score stays at 9/10 or better while price holds above $24.72.

CounterP/E on a fund of utility and infrastructure holdings reflects realized gains and is a thin basis for value, given 0.2 confidence.

Momentum at 5.6/10 reflects a pullback in an uptrend, with price below the 200-day average that is still rising 0.7% per 30 days and rising volume accumulation.

↑Improving
Momentum breakdown
Expectation
Price reclaims the 200-day average as rising on-balance volume persists.

CounterTechnical scores are weak at 3.9/10 with Bollinger and support/resistance readings under 3, so the pullback could extend.

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

10.0/10data confidence 20%
ComponentSub-score
P/E10.0
  • ▸Attractively valued

Quality

0.9/10data confidence 71%
ComponentSub-score
Gross margin0.0
Op margin0.0
Net margin0.0
Moat4.5
Piotroski F0.0
  • ▸No competitive moat
  • ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9
  • ▸Quality concerns

Growth

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Momentum

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.4
MACD9.6
OBV10.0
MA position7.2
Volume3.8
  • ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

5.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0

Insider

7.3/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change10.0
notable moves7.0
  • ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
  • ▸Institutions accumulating

Peer rank

5.8/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.2
quality rank5.0
growth rank5.0
  • ▸Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

3.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger0.5
support resistance2.3
52w position7.9

Risk (lower is worse)

9.1/10data confidence 60%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.9
days to cover10.0
volatility7.4

Catalyst

9.0/10data confidence 25%
ComponentSub-score
dividend safety9.0
  • ▸Dividend: 7.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOOR
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
9.2%
Sizing output
AVOID

Setup— — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($0.7B) below institutional reach

SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $0.7B<$5B

Investment implication

The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Value at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 0.00.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 10.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 9.1, and Catalyst at 9.0; the weakest are Quality at 0.9, Technical at 3.6, and Sentiment at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

What would invalidate the thesis

Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.

  • P1Quality Below Minimum

    Trip ifQuality score rises above 4.0 from the current 0.9.

  • P2Safe High Dividend

    Trip ifDividend yield falls below 6% from the current 7.2%.

  • P3Low Pe ValuationTripped

    Trip ifP/E value score falls below 6.0 from the current 10.0.

  • P4Pullback In Uptrend

    Trip ifPrice falls below the $24.72 stop level from the current $25.66.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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