Value
10.0/10data confidence 20%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
BTX · Why this verdict
Why BlackRock Technology and Privat (BTX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
BlackRock Technology and Private Equity is a $1.0B closed-end fund with a 7.5% dividend and cheap P/E, but quality scores 0.9/10 and momentum is soft, so the case for adding is weak.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
Business quality scores 0.9/10, below the 4.0 minimum, with margins and the Piotroski F-Score (0/9) all at zero. Bear case | Quality score rises above 4.0 as data coverage improves over 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterFunds have no gross or operating margins, so the zero scores may reflect missing data rather than weak economics. | ||
The fund scores 10/10 on P/E value and 9.7/10 in peer value rank, suggesting it is cheap. Valuation breakdown | Value score stays at 9/10 or better while price holds above $8.06. | Tripped→Stable |
| CounterP/E on a fund holding private and technology assets reflects marked gains that can reverse in a drawdown. | ||
Momentum at 4.0/10 reflects an oversold reading (RSI 27) while price remains above its 200-day average, a pullback inside an uptrend. Momentum breakdown | Momentum recovers above 4.5 as RSI normalizes. | ↑Improving |
| CounterWeak volume (0.0) and a low MACD component (2.4) suggest the pullback lacks buyers. | ||
The fund pays a 7.5% dividend with a safety component of 7.0/10, providing income while waiting. Catalyst breakdown | The 7.5% yield is maintained without a distribution cut over 12 months. | →Stable |
| CounterFunds holding technology and private equity assets often trim distributions after drawdowns, whatever the safety score. | ||
Business quality scores 0.9/10, below the 4.0 minimum, with margins and the Piotroski F-Score (0/9) all at zero.
→StableBear case
- Expectation
- Quality score rises above 4.0 as data coverage improves over 12 months.
CounterFunds have no gross or operating margins, so the zero scores may reflect missing data rather than weak economics.
The fund scores 10/10 on P/E value and 9.7/10 in peer value rank, suggesting it is cheap.
Tripped→StableValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Value score stays at 9/10 or better while price holds above $8.06.
CounterP/E on a fund holding private and technology assets reflects marked gains that can reverse in a drawdown.
Momentum at 4.0/10 reflects an oversold reading (RSI 27) while price remains above its 200-day average, a pullback inside an uptrend.
↑ImprovingMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Momentum recovers above 4.5 as RSI normalizes.
CounterWeak volume (0.0) and a low MACD component (2.4) suggest the pullback lacks buyers.
The fund pays a 7.5% dividend with a safety component of 7.0/10, providing income while waiting.
→StableCatalyst breakdown
- Expectation
- The 7.5% yield is maintained without a distribution cut over 12 months.
CounterFunds holding technology and private equity assets often trim distributions after drawdowns, whatever the safety score.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
0.9/10data confidence 71%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.5 |
| Piotroski F | 0.0 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 3.6 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 1.7 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
Insider
7.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 10.0 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
6.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.6 |
| quality rank | 5.0 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.0 |
| support resistance | 4.7 |
| 52w position | 8.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
8.1/10data confidence 40%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 6.2 |
Catalyst
5.5/10data confidence 25%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| dividend safety | 5.5 |
- ▸Dividend: 7.1%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOORPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
6.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($1.0B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $1.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Value at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 0.00.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 10.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 8.1, and Insider at 7.3; the weakest are Quality at 0.9, Sentiment at 5.0, and Growth at 5.0. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Quality Below Minimum
Trip ifQuality score rises above 4.0 from the current 0.9.
- P2Low Pe ValuationTripped
Trip ifP/E value score falls below 6.0 from the current 10.0.
- P3Oversold Uptrend Momentum
Trip ifPrice falls below the $8.06 stop level from the current $8.42.
- P4High Dividend Yield
Trip ifDividend yield falls below 6% from the current 7.5%.