Value
10.0/10data confidence 20%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
BST · Why this verdict
Why BlackRock Science and Technolog (BST) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
TrendMatrix Research · core thesis
Engine thesis — one sentence
BlackRock Science and Technology is a small closed-end fund with a 6.5% dividend and a low P/E, but quality scores 0.9/10 and momentum is weak, leaving little case for adding.
Falsifiable statement — pillar-level invalidators below. Engine-derived; not personalized advice.
Thesis pillars
| Pillar | Expectation | Trend |
|---|---|---|
Business quality scores 0.9/10, below the 4.0 minimum, because margins and the Piotroski F-Score (0/9) are all at zero. Bear case | Quality score should rise above 4.0 as fundamental data coverage improves over 12 months. | ↓Deteriorating |
| CounterFund structures have no gross or operating margins, so the zero scores may reflect missing data rather than weak economics. | ||
The fund scores 10/10 on P/E value and ranks 9.4/10 versus peers, suggesting it is cheap. Valuation breakdown | Valuation scores remain at 9/10 or better while price holds above $44.86. | Tripped→Stable |
| CounterP/E on a fund of technology holdings reflects realized gains and can collapse when markets fall. | ||
Momentum at 2.7/10 shows falling on-balance volume and an RSI of 27, so near-term selling pressure persists despite the price being above its 200-day average. Momentum breakdown | Momentum recovers above 4.5 as volume distribution ends. | ↑Improving |
| CounterRSI of 27 is oversold, so a mean-reversion bounce could arrive before volume trends turn. | ||
The fund pays a 6.5% dividend with a safety component of 5.5/10, providing income while waiting. Catalyst breakdown | The 6.5% yield is maintained without a distribution cut over 12 months. | ↑Improving |
| CounterA safety score of 5.5/10 is only middling, and funds holding technology equities often cut distributions after drawdowns. | ||
Business quality scores 0.9/10, below the 4.0 minimum, because margins and the Piotroski F-Score (0/9) are all at zero.
↓DeterioratingBear case
- Expectation
- Quality score should rise above 4.0 as fundamental data coverage improves over 12 months.
CounterFund structures have no gross or operating margins, so the zero scores may reflect missing data rather than weak economics.
The fund scores 10/10 on P/E value and ranks 9.4/10 versus peers, suggesting it is cheap.
Tripped→StableValuation breakdown
- Expectation
- Valuation scores remain at 9/10 or better while price holds above $44.86.
CounterP/E on a fund of technology holdings reflects realized gains and can collapse when markets fall.
Momentum at 2.7/10 shows falling on-balance volume and an RSI of 27, so near-term selling pressure persists despite the price being above its 200-day average.
↑ImprovingMomentum breakdown
- Expectation
- Momentum recovers above 4.5 as volume distribution ends.
CounterRSI of 27 is oversold, so a mean-reversion bounce could arrive before volume trends turn.
The fund pays a 6.5% dividend with a safety component of 5.5/10, providing income while waiting.
↑ImprovingCatalyst breakdown
- Expectation
- The 6.5% yield is maintained without a distribution cut over 12 months.
CounterA safety score of 5.5/10 is only middling, and funds holding technology equities often cut distributions after drawdowns.
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
0.9/10data confidence 71%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Moat | 4.5 |
| Piotroski F | 0.0 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 1.7 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 1.8 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.2 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
Insider
6.8/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 8.4 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
- ▸Institutions accumulating
Peer rank
6.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.3 |
| quality rank | 5.0 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.6 |
| support resistance | 4.9 |
| 52w position | 8.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
8.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.9 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 6.7 |
| news risk | 5.5 |
Catalyst
5.8/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| dividend safety | 5.5 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Dividend: 6.1%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCK:QUALITY_FLOORPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.6>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:NO_DATE
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRange Bound — RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeInst Constrain — Small cap ($1.7B) below institutional reach
SuitabilityAggressive — MCap $1.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The SELL_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Value at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 0.00.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 10.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 8.0, and Insider at 6.8; the weakest are Quality at 0.9, Growth at 5.0, and Sentiment at 5.1. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.
What would invalidate the thesis
Falsifying conditions — when triggered, the corresponding pillar's thesis is invalidated.
- P1Quality Below Minimum
Trip ifQuality score rises above 4.0 from the current 0.9.
- P2Low Pe ValuationTripped
Trip ifP/E value score falls below 6.0 from the current 10.0.
- P3Oversold Negative Momentum
Trip ifMomentum score rises above 5.5 from the current 2.7.
- P4High Dividend Yield
Trip ifDividend yield falls below 5% from the current 6.5%.