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BLKBlackRock, Inc.Hold6.0·$994.77-0.08%
BLK · Why this verdict

Why BlackRock (BLK) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E5.0
P/S6.0
EV/EBITDA2.5
Fwd P/E7.5
PEG5.9
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 16.4x
  • PEG: 1.26

Quality

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.0
ROA2.4
Gross margin5.4
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio7.5
FCF quality7.7
Moat7.1
Piotroski F8.9
  • Strong margins: 24%
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

9.6/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth9.2
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 27% YoY

Momentum

1.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position1.5
Volume2.1
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Sentiment

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment4.2
Analyst rating7.3
Price target8.2
  • Analyst upside: 26%

Insider

3.9/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality4.5
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.1
  • Modest insider selling — $44,847,314 (0.028% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.8
quality rank5.1
growth rank8.4
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

8.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.8
support resistance8.7
52w position6.6

Risk (lower is worse)

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.3
days to cover7.1
volatility6.0
put call8.1
implied vol6.5
max pain risk3.0
beta5.3
debt equity9.1
  • Above max pain $600

Catalyst

5.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.4
dividend safety4.8
news activity8.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:36d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:1.6<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.55
Upside
+13.2%
Downside
5.2%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupFALLING_KNIFE Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.43>1.3

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 9.6; weakest: Momentum at 1.6. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.6, Technical at 8.0, and Quality at 7.0; the weakest are Momentum at 1.6, Insider at 3.9, and Peer rank at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.55 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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