Value
9.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
BHVN · Why this verdict
Why Biohaven (BHVN) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
1.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.6 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 3.2 |
| Piotroski F | 2.2 |
- ▸Cash-burning (FCF negative)
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.8 |
| MACD | 9.8 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 1.9 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.40 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 101%
Insider
5.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.7 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.0 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
1.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.6 |
| support resistance | 3.2 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
1.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.5 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.1 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 2.8 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 20%
- ▸High IV: 122%
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.8 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.3>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:5.4>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:63d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.3>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
5.39
Upside
+80.9%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 3.31>1.3, MCap $1.6B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.0, Sentiment at 8.0, and Momentum at 6.3; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 1.4, Quality at 1.4, and Technical at 1.9. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.39 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.