Value
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.8 |
| P/S | 6.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.8 |
| PEG | 4.3 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 26.2x
- ▸PEG: 2.18
BELFB · Why this verdict
Why Bel Fuse (BELFB) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.8/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.7 |
| ROA | 4.8 |
| Gross margin | 3.8 |
| Op margin | 5.4 |
| Net margin | 3.9 |
| Current ratio | 9.8 |
| FCF quality | 7.7 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.8 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 3.3 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.6 |
| Price target | 6.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
Insider
3.8/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $2,408,481 (0.064% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.5 |
| quality rank | 5.4 |
| growth rank | 4.2 |
Technical
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.6 |
| support resistance | 4.8 |
| 52w position | 8.1 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.7 |
| days to cover | 9.1 |
| volatility | 0.1 |
| put call | 9.8 |
| implied vol | 3.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.4 |
| debt equity | 8.3 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Above max pain $175
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 11.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.5>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE
- 8K_CRITICAL:4.01
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.33
Upside
-3.7%
Downside
11.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.40>1.3, MCap $3.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Catalyst at 7.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-0.3=NEGATIVE, 8K_CRITICAL:4.01) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.33 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Catalyst at 7.0, Sentiment at 6.5, and Quality at 6.2; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.0, Growth at 3.4, and Insider at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.