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BBDBanco Bradesco SaHold5.4·$3.33-0.97%
BBD · Why this verdict

Why Banco Bradesco (BBD) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.0/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.4
P/S10.0
Fwd P/E9.9
PEG4.7
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 6.0x
  • PEG: 1.77
  • Attractively valued

Quality

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.5
ROA0.7
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Moat5.9
Piotroski F3.3
  • Strong margins: 25%
  • Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Growth

2.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth5.1
EPS growth0.5

Momentum

2.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD3.8
OBV1.0
MA position2.2
Volume0.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.5
Price target8.7
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 32%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $3,347,018 (0.009% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank9.3
quality rank4.9
growth rank4.5
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

8.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger9.8
support resistance9.8
52w position5.5

Risk (lower is worse)

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.4
days to cover8.9
volatility6.0
put call10.0
implied vol5.1
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
  • Above max pain $0

Catalyst

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg4.4
dividend safety5.5
  • Dividend: 493.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Mixed signals. Hold existing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.9>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.87
Upside
+15.0%
Downside
5.2%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:2.9>=1.5. Top dim: Technical at 8.4; weakest: Momentum at 2.1. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.4, Value at 8.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 7.5; the weakest are Momentum at 2.1, Growth at 2.8, and Quality at 4.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.87 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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