Value
7.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.3 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.6x
- ▸Attractively valued
BAX · Why this verdict
Why Baxter International (BAX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 1.9 |
| Gross margin | 2.9 |
| Op margin | 2.4 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.6 |
| Moat | 3.1 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.2/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.2 |
Momentum
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.2 |
| MACD | 7.4 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 1.7 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.7 |
| erm sentiment | 0.0 |
- ▸Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-17.4%)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.2 |
| quality rank | 1.2 |
| growth rank | 1.3 |
Technical
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.7 |
| support resistance | 2.5 |
| 52w position | 1.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.8 |
| days to cover | 5.4 |
| volatility | 3.9 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.8 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.1 |
| debt equity | 3.8 |
- ▸Above max pain $9
Catalyst
1.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 1.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
- ▸Estimates down -17.4% (30d)
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.7>=5.0 recovering
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.23
Upside
-2.6%
Downside
11.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.2, Momentum at 5.7, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.3; the weakest are Catalyst at 1.9, Technical at 2.4, and Peer rank at 2.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.23 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.