Value
8.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.6 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.0x
- ▸Attractively valued
ATHM · Why this verdict
Why Autohome (ATHM) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.4 |
| ROA | 0.7 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 9.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Strong margins: 18%
Growth
0.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -28%
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.7 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 4.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 2.5 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: -0.50 (n=2)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $168,180 (0.009% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.4 |
| quality rank | 4.8 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
- ▸Conservative debt levels
Technical
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.7 |
| support resistance | 7.6 |
| 52w position | 1.9 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.8 |
| days to cover | 8.0 |
| volatility | 1.2 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 1.1 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.1 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.00
- ▸High IV: 73%
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.5 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
- ▸Dividend: 1125.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:53d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.15
Upside
+1.3%
Downside
9.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.4 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.15 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.0, Catalyst at 6.0, and Technical at 5.7; the weakest are Growth at 0.0, Momentum at 3.4, and Sentiment at 4.9. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.15 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.