Value
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.0 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 7.5 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.92
- ▸Attractively valued
ASR · Why this verdict
Why Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (ASR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.9 |
| ROA | 7.7 |
| Gross margin | 5.3 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.6 |
| FCF quality | 2.8 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 26%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 34% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
1.4/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.7 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
1.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 8.5 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 29%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
3.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.3 |
| quality rank | 3.3 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 8.8 |
| 52w position | 4.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.8 |
| days to cover | 8.5 |
| volatility | 5.6 |
| put call | 2.4 |
| implied vol | 3.5 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 6.7 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.64
Catalyst
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:43d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:1.3<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.14
Upside
+11.9%
Downside
5.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.5 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.3<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.14 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.0, Technical at 7.9, and Quality at 7.3; the weakest are Momentum at 1.3, Growth at 1.4, and Catalyst at 2.7. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.14 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.