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ASMAvino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.Buy Wait6.3·$6.79+6.18%
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Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait for pullback to $6.11. BUY gates pass at $6.79, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. and leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $6.11 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Mexico. It explores for silver, gold, copper, and base metal deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Avino Mine area... Read more

$6.79+47.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 10 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.34%
Entry $6.11(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $5.08Target $9.62(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.8:1Setup A.R:R 6.7:1
Analyst target$11.31+66.6%4 analysts
$9.62our TP
$6.79price
$11.31mean
$13

Wait for pullback to $6.11. BUY gates pass at $6.79, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. and leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $6.11 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.06, quality 7.5/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=7.9x,ratio=0.27x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 42%
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.0
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn32.7%
ROE18.1%
Rev Growth109.3%
Beta2.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV98%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.3
Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
3.6
Bollinger
4.2
Extreme gap up (8.9%) - may pull back
GatesMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=7.9x,ratio=0.27xMomentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.45Resistance $7.53

Price Targets

$5
$6
$10
A.Upside+41.7%
A.R:R2.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)6.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=7.9x,ratio=0.27x

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $6.11. BUY gates pass at $6.79, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. and leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $6.11 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.06, quality 7.5/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $9.62 (+41.7%), stop $5.08 (−33.7%), Setup A.R:R 6.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.62 (+47.8% upside). Target $9.62 (+41.7%), stop $5.08 (−33.7%), Setup A.R:R 6.7:1. Stop-loss: $5.08.

What are the risks of investing in ASM?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.27× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is ASM overvalued or undervalued?

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 29.0 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ASM?

6 analysts cover ASM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. do?Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and...

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Mexico. It explores for silver, gold, copper, and base metal deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Avino Mine area property covering an area of approximately 4,086.93 hectares comprising 42 mineral claims and leases 4 mineral claims, which is located in the state of Durango, Mexico. It also has an option to acquire 100% interest in the Ana Maria and El Laberinto properties located in Mexico. The company was formerly known as International Avino Mines Ltd. and changed its name to Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. in August 1997. Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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