Value
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 3.6 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 17.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.10
ALH · Why this verdict
Why Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 4.7 |
| Gross margin | 3.5 |
| Op margin | 7.9 |
| Net margin | 4.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.1 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 185%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 166% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
7.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.9 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 2.8 |
| MACD | 6.6 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 7.5 |
| Volume | 0.3 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 73)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.9 |
| Price target | 7.9 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 22%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.0 |
| quality rank | 8.2 |
| growth rank | 5.5 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.7 |
| support resistance | 2.3 |
| 52w position | 8.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.4 |
| days to cover | 7.2 |
| volatility | 4.1 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 0.5 |
- ▸High IV: 105%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 9.5 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:64d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.62
Upside
+6.4%
Downside
10.3%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $5.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 7.5) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5, ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.62 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 7.5, Sentiment at 7.3, and Catalyst at 6.9; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6, Momentum at 3.6, and Technical at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.62 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.