Arthur J. Gallagher & (AJG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.84
- Estimate
- $2.81
- Surprise
- +0.9%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 5.9/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Arthur J. Gallagher & (AJG) beat the $2.81 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.84 — a modest 0.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.9/10) to Buy (Wait) at 5.9/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AJG Buy (Wait) at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +0.9% surprise compares with a -1.3% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 9.3%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $240.32
- Entry target
- $233.21
- Price target
- $262.55
- Stop
- $218.99
- Upside to target
- +9.3%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.6:1
The stock trades at 39.9× trailing but 16.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AJG at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance Brokers
- Market cap
- $61.60B
- P/E (fwd)
- 16.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 39.9
- 52-week range
- $190.75–$313.55
- Off 52-week high
- 23.4%
- RSI (14)
- 32
- Volume vs avg
- 0.82×
- Score today
- 5.4/10