Value
4.2/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 6.1 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
AI · Why this verdict
Why C3.ai (AI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score3.4/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 2.3 |
| Current ratio | 6.4 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 3.3 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 8.1 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Overbought bear rally (RSI 70)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.0 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 2.7 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.40 (n=10)
- ▸Below analyst target
Insider
3.2/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.5 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $13,939,131 (0.905% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
1.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.4 |
| quality rank | 0.1 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
Technical
2.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.8 |
| support resistance | 3.5 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
1.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 7.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 3.2 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 35%
- ▸High IV: 89%
- ▸Above max pain $4
Catalyst
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:92d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-1.8=NEGATIVE
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-1.84
Upside
-27.6%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.03>1.3, MCap $1.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Growth at 5.0 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.0<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 5.0, Sentiment at 5.0, and Value at 4.2; the weakest are Peer rank at 1.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 1.6, and Technical at 2.1. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.84 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.