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AGNTAGNT, Inc.Sell4.9·$4.79-3.43%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AGNT is attempting a technical recovery off a -56% drawdown, but a failed asymmetry gate, a 2-of-4 earnings miss streak, extreme options skew, and sub-floor quality and leverage metrics keep the risk-reward unattractive for new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Recovery Off Deep DrawdownStable
  • Failed Asymmetry GateStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AGNT, Inc. (AGNT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.79: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 50.00; Below-average business quality.

The Company owns and oversees a diversified portfolio of service-oriented businesses. These businesses are integrated through the Company's advanced enabling technology platform which enables collaboration and operational leverage across its ecosystem.

$4.79+28.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#14 of 19 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.66%
IncomeYield3.94%Payout616.67%
Stop $4.45Target $6.16(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$7.25+51.4%2 analysts
$6.16our TP
$4.79price
$7.25mean
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.79: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 50.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — AGNT, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 11, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: **Texas** | | **001-38493** | | ​ | **98-0681092** (State or other jurisdiction | ​ | (Commission | ​ | ​ | (IRS Employer of incorporation) | ​ | File Number) | ​ | ​ | Identification No.) ​ | ​ | ​ ---|---|--- **2219 Rimland Drive, Suite 301****,****Bellingham****,****WA** | ​ | **98226** (Addre...

Generated 2026-07-08T23:14:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.8), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$815M
EV/EBITDA-67.4
Profit Mgn-0.3%
ROE-7.2%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta2.06
Dividend3.94%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C50.00bearish
IV77%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    **Texas** | | **001-38493** | | ​ | **98-0681092** (State or other jurisdiction | ​ | (Commission | ​ | ​ | (IRS Employer of incorporation) | ​ | File Number) | ​ | ​ | Identification No.) ​ | ​ | ​ ---|---|--- **2219 Rimland Drive, Suite 301****,****Bellingham****,****WA** | ​ | **98226** (Addre...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.5
Beta
3.1
Short Interest
3.3
News Risk
5.0
Elevated put/call: 50.00High IV: 77%

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.1
Current Ratio
5.7
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.3
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.8
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2MDividend: 3.9%
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.50Resistance $5.79

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+28.6%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.8), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.79: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 50.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $4.45. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGNT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.16 (+28.6% upside). Prior stop was $4.45. Stop-loss: $4.45.

What are the risks of investing in AGNT?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.8), Negative free cash flow.

Is AGNT overvalued or undervalued?

AGNT, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGNT?

9 analysts cover AGNT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $7.

What does AGNT, Inc. do?The Company owns and oversees a diversified portfolio of service-oriented businesses. These businesses are integrated...

The Company owns and oversees a diversified portfolio of service-oriented businesses. These businesses are integrated through the Company's advanced enabling technology platform which enables collaboration and operational leverage across its ecosystem.

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