Value
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.2 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.2 |
| PEG | 6.3 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.6x
- ▸PEG: 1.18
- ▸Attractively valued
ABM · Why this verdict
Why ABM Industries (ABM) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.0 |
| ROA | 2.5 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.6 |
| Net margin | 0.9 |
| Current ratio | 5.4 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 4.2 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 179% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
4.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.6 |
| EPS growth | 3.8 |
Momentum
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.4 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 71)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.7 |
| Price target | 7.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (7.0) — signal dampened
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.8 |
| quality rank | 4.2 |
| growth rank | 4.8 |
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.9 |
| support resistance | 3.0 |
| 52w position | 7.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.3 |
| days to cover | 2.8 |
| volatility | 5.1 |
| put call | 4.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.7 |
| debt equity | 4.7 |
- ▸High IV: 99%
- ▸Above max pain $30
Catalyst
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 0.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
- ▸Dividend: 253.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.5>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:79d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.5>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
0.11
Upside
+1.5%
Downside
13.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.2 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: ASYMMETRY:0.1<1.5@spot.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.2, Momentum at 6.5, and Sentiment at 6.4; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.3, Quality at 3.8, and Technical at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.11 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.