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UDR, Inc. (UDR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%).

UDR is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities with 55,240 homes across 21 U.S. markets. Revenue from apartment rents, with 74.5% of NOI concentrated in eight coastal and Sun Belt markets.

$36.61-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#5 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $34.95Target $36.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$40.52+10.7%21 analysts
$36.12our TP
$36.61price
$40.52mean
$35
$44

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.7
P/E (Fwd)60.6
Mkt Cap$13.5B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn28.0%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth-0.4%
Beta
Dividend4.76%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographictop 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa)75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 74.5% of our total NOI was generated from communities located in Metropolitan D.C. (15.7%), Boston, MA (11.7%), Orange County, CA (10.9%), the San Francisco Bay Area, CA (8.9%), Dallas, TX (8.0%), New York, NY (7.1%), Seattle, WA (6.5%) and Tampa, FL (5.7%)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
7.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.2
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.97Resistance $36.86

Price Targets

$35
$36
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $34.95. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.12 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $34.95. Stop-loss: $34.95.

What are the risks of investing in UDR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is UDR overvalued or undervalued?

UDR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 60.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UDR?

28 analysts cover UDR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $41.

What does UDR, Inc. do?UDR is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities with 55,240 homes across...

UDR is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities with 55,240 homes across 21 U.S. markets. Revenue from apartment rents, with 74.5% of NOI concentrated in eight coastal and Sun Belt markets.

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