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TVGrupo Televisa S.A.B.Sell5.5·$2.17
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Grupo Televisa is extremely cheap at a forward P/E of 7.9x with a PEG near zero and strong price momentum above its 200-day moving average, but below-floor business quality, 2 of 4 earnings misses, and declining revenue in the core media business offset the valuation appeal.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation Discount↑Improving
  • Positive Technical Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Volatility Risk→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. (TV) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.17: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 6.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic... Read more

$2.17+56.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#19 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield232.48%
Stop $2.08Analyst target $3.40(−13% haircut)A.R:R 6.7:1
Analyst consensus$3.90+79.9%7 analysts
$3.40Analyst target
$2.17price
$3.90mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.17: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 6.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Grupo Televisa S.A.B.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA2.6
Profit Mgn-16.3%
ROE-8.0%
Rev Growth-3.0%
Beta1.02
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings today

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.9
Volume
4.1
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -16.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.2
Gross Margin
3.7
Moat
4.0
Operating Margin
4.4
Current Ratio
8.2
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 6.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.14Resistance $2.52

Price Targets

$2
$3
A.Upside+56.5%
A.R:R6.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.17: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 6.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.08. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TV stock price target?

Analyst target: $3.40 (+56.5% upside). Prior stop was $2.08. Stop-loss: $2.08.

What are the risks of investing in TV?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TV overvalued or undervalued?

Grupo Televisa S.A.B. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TV?

12 analysts cover TV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Grupo Televisa S.A.B. do?Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system...

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic and premium television subscription, pay-per-view, installation, internet subscription, and telephone and mobile services subscription, as well as local and national advertising services; and data and long-distance services solutions to carriers and other telecommunications service providers through its fiber-optic network. It also provides direct-to-home broadcast satellite pay television services comprising program, installation, and equipment rental services to subscribers; and national advertising sales. Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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