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TRGPTarga Resources, Inc.Sell5.3·$272.54+3.17%
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Targa Resources, Inc. (TRGP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $272.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Targa Resources is a leading North American midstream infrastructure company operating Gathering and Processing (Permian Basin, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, Williston) and Logistics and Transportation (Mont Belvieu fractionation, NGL pipelines, LPG export) segments. Revenue is... Read more

$272.54+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#30 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.54%
IncomeYield1.56%(5y avg 1.70%)Payout40.86%sustainable
Stop $259.22Target $274.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$283.90+4.2%20 analysts
$274.40our TP
$272.54price
$283.90mean
$245
$331

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $272.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.9
P/E (Fwd)22.1
Mkt Cap$58.5B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE74.1%
Rev Growth-10.2%
Beta0.71
Dividend1.56%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.72bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
6.4
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $252.18Resistance $280.00

Price Targets

$259
$274
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $272.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $259.22. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $274.40 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $259.22. Stop-loss: $259.22.

What are the risks of investing in TRGP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5.

Is TRGP overvalued or undervalued?

Targa Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.9 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRGP?

30 analysts cover TRGP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $284.

What does Targa Resources, Inc. do?Targa Resources is a leading North American midstream infrastructure company operating Gathering and Processing...

Targa Resources is a leading North American midstream infrastructure company operating Gathering and Processing (Permian Basin, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, Williston) and Logistics and Transportation (Mont Belvieu fractionation, NGL pipelines, LPG export) segments. Revenue is predominantly fee-based from gathering, processing, transporting, fractionating, and marketing natural gas, NGLs, and crude oil. The company is one of the largest NGL fractionators on the US Gulf Coast with $303B AUM equivalent in assets.

Related stocks: FRO (Frontline Plc) · VG (Venture Global, Inc.) · LNG (Cheniere Energy, Inc.) · WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP) · KMI (Kinder Morgan, Inc.)
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