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SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.Sell5.3·$33.79-2.26%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Southside Bancshares combines a bullish golden-cross breakout and a cheap valuation with two consecutive earnings misses, a dividend yield-trap warning, and a negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio, consistent with a call to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Golden Cross BreakoutStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Dividend Yield Trap WarningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Southside Bancshares, Inc. (SBSI) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.79 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (82.7%).

Southside Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southside Bank that provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, municipal entities, and nonprofit organizations. Its deposit products include savings, money market, and interest and... Read more

$33.79+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#193 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.13%(5y avg 4.28%)Payout61.02%
Stop $32.13Target $35.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$37.00+9.5%3 analysts
$35.04our TP
$33.79price
$37.00mean
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.79 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (82.7%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (82.7%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.7
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.6%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.57
Dividend4.13%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV85%elevated
Max Pain$18-48.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioloans secured by real estate83%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, approximately 82.7% of our loans have real estate as a primary or secondary component of collateral.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
2.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 4.1%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
3.4
Value Rank
3.5
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.50Resistance $35.76

Price Targets

$32
$35
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBSI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.79 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (82.7%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.13. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBSI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.04 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $32.13. Stop-loss: $32.13.

What are the risks of investing in SBSI?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: loans secured by real estate (82.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SBSI overvalued or undervalued?

Southside Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SBSI?

10 analysts cover SBSI with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Southside Bancshares, Inc. do?Southside Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southside Bank that provides various financial...

Southside Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Southside Bank that provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, municipal entities, and nonprofit organizations. Its deposit products include savings, money market, and interest and noninterest bearing checking accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The company offers consumer loan services, including 1-4 family residential, home equity, home improvement, automobile, and other consumer related loans; commercial loans, such as short-term working capital loans for inventory and accounts receivable, short and medium-term loans for equipment or other business capital expansion, commercial real estate loans, and municipal loans; and construction loans for 1-4 family residential and commercial real estate. It also provides trust and wealth management services comprising investment management, administration of irrevocable, revocable, and testamentary trusts, estate administration, and custodian services for individuals, partnerships, and corporations; brokerage services; and safe deposit services. In addition, the company offers retirement and employee benefit accounts consisting of plans and profit sharing plans; and telephone, internet, and mobile banking products. The company offers various banking services through branches, drive-thru facilities, loan production offices, automated teller machines, and interactive teller machines. Southside Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Tyler, Texas.

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