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RCBCRIVER CITY BANKHold6.4·$58.93
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

River City Bank is a high-margin regional bank with attractive valuation and strong growth, but price has moved 13.4% above the analyst target and sits near its 52-week high, so the engine says hold rather than add.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • Best In Class Margins→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 11, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RIVER CITY BANK (RCBC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

River City Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services. The company offers checking, savings, and term certificate accounts. It also provides personal, consumer, commercial real estate, commercial, commercial, agriculture, and residential... Read more

$58.93-15.6% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#42 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.34%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout3.41%sustainable
Stop $55.67Analyst target $49.73(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$58.50-0.7%4 analysts
$58.93price
$58.50mean
$55
$61

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — RIVER CITY BANK

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-29T11:20:25Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.6
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$825M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn50.5%
ROE—
Rev Growth19.8%
Beta0.20
Dividend0.34%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $50.90Resistance $58.96

Price Targets

A.Upside-15.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RCBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $58.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $49.73 reached (−15.6%), stop $55.67 (−5.9%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RCBC stock price target?

Analyst target $49.73 reached (−15.6% from $58.93); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $49.73 reached (−15.6%), stop $55.67 (−5.9%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $55.67.

What are the risks of investing in RCBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Is RCBC overvalued or undervalued?

RIVER CITY BANK trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RCBC?

10 analysts cover RCBC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $59.

What does RIVER CITY BANK do?River City Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services. The company offers...

River City Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services. The company offers checking, savings, and term certificate accounts. It also provides personal, consumer, commercial real estate, commercial, commercial, agriculture, and residential mortgage loans; and home equity lines of credit. In addition, the company offers cash management services; lockbox, integrated payables, clean energy financing and solutions, and premier banking services; debit and credit cards; and online and mobile banking services. The company serves agribusiness, construction, healthcare, manufacturing and distribution, nonprofits, professional services, property management, and representative payee industries. The company was formerly known as RCB Corporation and changed its name to River City Banki in November 2010. River City Bank was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Sacramento, California.

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