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POWLPowell Industries, Inc.Sell4.5·$297.65+4.49%
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Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $297.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control equipment—switchgear, motor control centers, and power control rooms—for oil/gas (37%), electric utility (25%), commercial/industrial (16%), and petrochemical (14%)... Read more

$297.65+9.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#16 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.33%
IncomeYield0.12%(5y avg 1.91%)Payout6.98%sustainable
Stop $273.05Target $321.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$316.25+6.2%4 analysts
$321.33our TP
$297.65price
$316.25mean
$252
$360

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $297.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.1
P/E (Fwd)42.7
Mkt Cap$10.7B
EV/EBITDA43.8
Profit Mgn16.5%
ROE29.9%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.12%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV99%elevated
Max Pain$95-68.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomeroil and gas, petrochemical
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have a significant concentration of customers in the oil and gas, petrochemical and electric utility industries'
  • LOWGeographicoutside of the United States20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenues associated with projects located outside of the United States, including revenues generated from our operations in the U.K. and Canada, accounted for approximately 20% of our consolidated revenues in Fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.1
Forward Pe
2.6
Peg Ratio
3.6
Ps
3.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 42.7xPEG: 3.15Expensive valuation

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $250.22Resistance $327.89

Price Targets

$273
$321
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $297.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $273.05. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POWL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $321.33 (+9.4% upside). Prior stop was $273.05. Stop-loss: $273.05.

What are the risks of investing in POWL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is POWL overvalued or undervalued?

Powell Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 57.1 (forward 42.7). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWL?

12 analysts cover POWL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $316.

What does Powell Industries, Inc. do?Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control...

Powell Industries designs, manufactures, and services custom-engineered electrical distribution and control equipment—switchgear, motor control centers, and power control rooms—for oil/gas (37%), electric utility (25%), commercial/industrial (16%), and petrochemical (14%) markets. Backlog was $1.4 billion at September 30, 2025; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries, Inc) · HAYW (Hayward Holdings, Inc.) · AYI (Acuity Inc.) · HUBB (Hubbell Inc) · FPS (Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.)
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