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PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.Hold5.7·$38.39
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Peoples Bancorp has delivered 3 earnings beats in the last 4 quarters and trades at an attractive forward P/E of 9.7x with a golden cross technical pattern, but the stock has reached analyst price targets and the put/call ratio of 3.33 signals elevated downside hedging activity.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Regional Bank Valuation→Stable
  • Golden Cross Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (62.1%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single core-systems vendor.

Peoples Bancorp Inc. operates as the financial holding company for Peoples Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking products and services. The company accepts various deposit products, including demand deposit accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts,... Read more

$38.39-2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#143 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.38%(5y avg 5.08%)Payout49.85%sustainable
Stop $36.91Analyst target $37.26(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$42.83+11.6%6 analysts
$38.39price
$42.83mean
$48

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (62.1%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single core-systems vendor. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 19, 202781d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (62.1%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single core-systems vendor
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn27.4%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.61
Dividend4.38%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans62%
    10-K Item 1: 'Commercial loans represented the largest portion of Peoples Bank's total loan portfolio, comprising approximately 62.1% and 60.3% of total loans at December 31, 2025, and at December 31, 2024, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans35%
    10-K Item 1: 'Peoples Bank's portfolio of commercial real estate loans comprised 34.9% of total loans at December 31, 2025, and 33.9% at December 31, 2024.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle core-systems vendor
    10-K Item 1A: 'Peoples relies, in significant part, on a single vendor for the systems which allow Peoples to provide banking services to Peoples' customers, with the systems being maintained on Peoples' behalf by this single vendor.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.33Resistance $38.73

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+2) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -2.9% (lift floor +1.5%)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-19 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEBO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (62.1%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single core-systems vendor. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $37.26 reached (−2.9%), stop $36.91 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEBO stock price target?

Analyst target $37.26 reached (−2.9% from $38.39); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $37.26 reached (−2.9%), stop $36.91 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $36.91.

What are the risks of investing in PEBO?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (62.1%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single core-systems vendor; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PEBO overvalued or undervalued?

Peoples Bancorp Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PEBO?

13 analysts cover PEBO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Peoples Bancorp Inc. do?Peoples Bancorp Inc. operates as the financial holding company for Peoples Bank that provides commercial and consumer...

Peoples Bancorp Inc. operates as the financial holding company for Peoples Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking products and services. The company accepts various deposit products, including demand deposit accounts, savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, and governmental deposits; and provides commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, construction, finance, residential real estate, and consumer indirect and direct loans, as well as home equity lines of credit and overdrafts. It also offers debit and automated teller machine (ATM) cards; safe deposit rental facilities; money orders and cashier's checks; and online, telephone, and mobile banking services. In addition, it provides various life, health, and property and casualty insurance products; third-party insurance administration; interactive teller machines; insurance premium financing; commercial and technology equipment leasing; fiduciary and trust; equipment financing agreements; and asset management and administration services, as well as employee benefit, retirement, and healthcare plan administration services. Further, the company offers brokerage services through an unaffiliated registered broker-dealer; and credit cards to individuals and businesses, as well as merchant credit card transaction processing, and person-to-person and business-to-business payment processing services. Peoples Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1902 and is based in Marietta, Ohio.

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