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PDMPiedmont Realty Trust, Inc.Sell5.1·$9.18
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Piedmont Realty Trust screens cheap on an FFO-proxy basis, but a persistent 4-quarter earnings miss streak, quality just below the engine's floor, and a negative asymmetry ratio suggest the office REIT's discount reflects structural, not temporary, weakness.

Thesis pillars

  • Office Reit Fcf Yield Value→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Miss Streak↑Improving
  • Quality Below Engine Floor↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. (PDM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. At $9.18, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%).

Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an exceptional office environment. As an owner, manager, developer and operator of approximately 16 MM SF of Class A properties across major U.S. Sunbelt markets,... Read more

$9.18-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#7 of 17 REIT - Office
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield21.18%
Stop $8.64Analyst target $9.14(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$10.75+17.1%4 analysts
$9.18price
$10.75mean
$11

Sell if holding. At $9.18, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 2027105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: office
Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-30.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn-15.2%
ROE-5.9%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyoffice
    10-K Item 1A: 'Because our portfolio consists exclusively of office properties, we are subject to risks inherent in investments in a single property type.'
  • HIGHGeographicSunbelt markets70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Collectively, over 70% of our ALR is generated from our properties located in our Sunbelt markets.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the Third Amended and Restated Omnibus Incentive Plan on May 12, 2026, increasing shares available for issuance by 5,000,000 (13,666,667 to 18,666,667). Routine compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.72Resistance $9.80

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PDM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $9.18, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.64. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the PDM stock price target?

Analyst target $9.14 reached (−0.5% from $9.18); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $8.64. Stop-loss: $8.64.

What are the risks of investing in PDM?

Concentration risk — Property Type: office; Concentration risk — Geographic: Sunbelt markets (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is PDM overvalued or undervalued?

Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -30.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PDM?

8 analysts cover PDM with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. do?Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an...

Piedmont Realty Trust Inc. is a fully integrated, self-managed real estate investment company focused on delivering an exceptional office environment. As an owner, manager, developer and operator of approximately 16 MM SF of Class A properties across major U.S. Sunbelt markets, Piedmont Realty Trust is known for its hospitality-driven approach and commitment to transforming buildings into premier piedmont places that enhance each client's workplace experience. Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Atlanta, United States.

Related stocks: PSTL (Postal Realty Trust, Inc.) · HIW (Highwoods Properties, Inc.) · SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) · CDP (COPT Defense Properties) · CUZ (Cousins Properties Incorporated)
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