Skip to main content
OZKBank OZKSell4.9·$51.06+1.35%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bank OZK trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0x with best-in-class margins of 45% and a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, but it is trading above its analyst price target at a 52-week high with 2 consecutive earnings misses and 14% short interest signaling professional skepticism.

Thesis pillars

  • High Short Interest Bearish SignalImproving
  • Best In Class Net MarginDeteriorating
  • Breakout Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bank OZK (OZK) Stock Analysis

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.06 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

Bank OZK operates as a full-service Arkansas state-chartered bank that provides retail and commercial banking services. The company provides deposit services, including non-interest-bearing checking, interest bearing transaction, business sweep, savings, money market, individual... Read more

$51.06-8.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#216 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.70%(5y avg 3.28%)Payout28.94%sustainable
Stop $48.85Target $52.12(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$53.89+5.5%9 analysts
$52.12our TP
$51.06price
$53.89mean
$40
$65

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.06 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 15, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 46%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.2
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn44.5%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth-2.1%
Beta0.88
Dividend3.70%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -2.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.9
Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.40Resistance $53.18

Price Targets

$49
$52
A.Upside-8.1%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-15 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OZK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.06 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $48.85. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OZK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.12 (-8.1% upside). Prior stop was $48.85. Stop-loss: $48.85.

What are the risks of investing in OZK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is OZK overvalued or undervalued?

Bank OZK trades at a P/E of 8.2 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OZK?

14 analysts cover OZK with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Bank OZK do?Bank OZK operates as a full-service Arkansas state-chartered bank that provides retail and commercial banking services....

Bank OZK operates as a full-service Arkansas state-chartered bank that provides retail and commercial banking services. The company provides deposit services, including non-interest-bearing checking, interest bearing transaction, business sweep, savings, money market, individual retirement, and other accounts, as well as time and reciprocal deposits. It offers trust and wealth services, such as personal trusts, custodial accounts, investment management accounts, and retirement accounts; corporate trust services that include trustee, paying agent and registered transfer agent services, and other related services; and treasury management services, which include automated clearing house, wire transfer, current and prior day transaction reporting, wholesale lockbox, remote deposit capture, automated credit line transfer, reconciliation, positive pay, commercial card, and other services, as well as zero balance and investment sweep accounts. In addition, the company provides real estate, consumer, small business, indirect recreational vehicle and marine, equipment, agricultural, commercial and industrial, government guaranteed, lines of credit, homebuilder, and housing loans; lender and structured, business aviation, and subscription financing services; and mortgage and other lending products. The company was formerly known as Bank of the Ozarks and changed its name to Bank OZK in July 2018. Bank OZK was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas.

Related stocks: CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · NBBK (NB Bancorp, Inc.) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
Home Stocks OZK

Latest news

Latest News

Seeking Alpha9d ago
Investing.com9d ago
Arkansas Business100d ago
GuruFocus100d ago
Yahoo Finance9d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative9d agoEarnings
The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette9d ago
Yahoo Finance Australia9d ago
GuruFocus9d ago
Talk Business &amp; Politics9d agoEarnings
10TV9d agoEarnings
Kare11.com9d agoEarnings
KING5.com9d agoEarnings
KVUE9d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com9d agoEarnings
TradingView9d agoEarnings
GlobeNewswire9d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance9d agoEarnings
Investing.com Nigeria9d agoEarnings
The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette10d agoEarnings
Loading more...