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OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.Sell5.1·$18.40+0.60%
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OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $18.40, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Weak growth.

OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services to retail and commercial customers in the United States. The company accepts deposit products, such as money market accounts, savings accounts,... Read more

$18.40+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#132 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.35%(5y avg 4.22%)Payout67.80%
Stop $17.54Target $18.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$21.80+18.5%5 analysts
$18.97our TP
$18.40price
$21.80mean
$24

Sell if holding. At $18.40, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.1%
Weak growth
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.97
Dividend4.35%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C6.25bearish
IV224%elevated
Max Pain$3-86.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
3.5
Value Rank
5.5
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.32Resistance $19.15

Price Targets

$18
$19
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OCFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.40, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.54. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OCFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.97 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $17.54. Stop-loss: $17.54.

What are the risks of investing in OCFC?

Thin upside margin: 3.1%; Weak growth; Elevated risk factors.

Is OCFC overvalued or undervalued?

OceanFirst Financial Corp. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OCFC?

12 analysts cover OCFC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $22.

What does OceanFirst Financial Corp. do?OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community...

OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services to retail and commercial customers in the United States. The company accepts deposit products, such as money market accounts, savings accounts, interest-bearing checking accounts, non-interest-bearing accounts, and time deposits, including brokered deposits. It also offers commercial real estate, multi-family, land loans, construction, and commercial and industrial loans; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans that are secured by one-to-four family residences; and consumer loans, such as home equity loans and lines of credit, student loans, loans on savings accounts, overdraft line of credit, and other consumer loans. In addition, the company invests in mortgage-backed securities, securities issued by the U.S. government and agencies, corporate securities, and other investments; and provides bankcard services, trust and asset management products and services, deposit account services, sales of loans and investments, bank owned life insurance and commercial loan swap income. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Toms River, New Jersey.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · BFC (Bank First Corporation)
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