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MDLNMedline Inc.Sell5.6·$33.73+0.36%
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Medline Inc. (MDLN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Vizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P. (GPOs) (69.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Prime Vendor agreements (63.4%).

Medline is the largest provider of medical-surgical products and supply chain solutions, offering approximately 335,000 products across Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions segments to hospitals, surgery centers, physician offices, and post-acute settings. In 2025, 69% of... Read more

$33.73+36.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 26 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $31.83Target $46.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$51.15+51.6%27 analysts
$46.03our TP
$33.73price
$51.15mean
$62

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Vizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P. (GPOs) (69.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Prime Vendor agreements (63.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and news soft fda negative. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Vizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P. (GPOs) (69.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Prime Vendor agreements (63.4%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.5
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$59.9B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE6.1%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerVizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P. (GPOs)69%
    10-K Item 1A: '69% of consolidated net sales ... under contract with our largest GPOs: Vizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P.'
  • HIGHCustomerPrime Vendor agreements63%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our active Prime Vendor agreements as of December 31, 2025 generated approximately 63.4% ($18.0 billion) of net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.6
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5NEWS SOFT FDA NEGATIVEA.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $32.81Resistance $40.00

Price Targets

$32
$46
A.Upside+36.5%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! NEWS_SOFT:FDA_NEGATIVE

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MDLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $33.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Vizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P. (GPOs) (69.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Prime Vendor agreements (63.4%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.83. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MDLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.03 (+36.2% upside). Prior stop was $31.83. Stop-loss: $31.83.

What are the risks of investing in MDLN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Vizient Supply, LLC, HealthTrust Purchasing Group, L.P., and Premier Healthcare Alliance, L.P. (GPOs) (69.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Prime Vendor agreements (63.4%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Is MDLN overvalued or undervalued?

Medline Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.5 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MDLN?

35 analysts cover MDLN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Medline Inc. do?Medline is the largest provider of medical-surgical products and supply chain solutions, offering approximately 335,000...

Medline is the largest provider of medical-surgical products and supply chain solutions, offering approximately 335,000 products across Medline Brand and Supply Chain Solutions segments to hospitals, surgery centers, physician offices, and post-acute settings. In 2025, 69% of consolidated net sales came through member hospitals under GPO contracts with Vizient, HealthTrust, and Premier; Prime Vendor agreements generated 63.4% ($18.0B) of net sales.

Related stocks: WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.) · ISRG (Intuitive Surgical, Inc.) · ALGN (Align Technology, Inc.) · RGEN (Repligen Corporation)
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