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MCBMetropolitan Bank Holding Corp.Hold6.2·$96.04-1.06%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Metropolitan Bank screens cheap with strong growth and an imminent earnings catalyst, though notable insider selling and a stock price already near its target and 52-week high temper the near-term reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • Strong Growth QualityStable
  • Earnings CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. (MCB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New... Read more

$96.04+4.1% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#72 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.01%Payout6.18%sustainable
Stop $90.36Target $100.00(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$104.67+9.0%3 analysts
$100.00our TP
$96.04price
$104.67mean
$109

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.5%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth37.4%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$60-37.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.83Resistance $102.04

Price Targets

$90
$100
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $96.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $100.00 (+4.1%), stop $90.36 (−6.3%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.00 (+4.1% upside). Target $100.00 (+4.1%), stop $90.36 (−6.3%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $90.36.

What are the risks of investing in MCB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is MCB overvalued or undervalued?

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MCB?

7 analysts cover MCB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $105.

What does Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. do?Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial...

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New York metropolitan area through seven banking centers. As of December 31, 2025, the company held $8.3 billion in assets, $6.8 billion in loans and $7.4 billion in deposits, with CRE and C&I loans - including a specialty in healthcare and nursing-facility lending - comprising 98.6% of its loan portfolio.

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