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Logitech International S.A. - R (LOGI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex.

Logitech designs software-enabled hardware including gaming peripherals, keyboards, pointing devices, video collaboration, webcams, and headsets, sold globally across Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. Revenue comes from retailers, e-tailers, businesses, and direct e-commerce;... Read more

$100.92-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 14 Computer Hardware
Stop $96.57Target $100.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$109.30+8.3%10 analysts
$100.20our TP
$100.92price
$109.30mean
$86
$143

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$14.6B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE32.1%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta0.59
Dividend1.60%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$50-50.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerAmazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex
    10-K Item 1A: 'in fiscal years 2025 and 2024 our gross sales were concentrated with three customers - Amazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex - and their affiliated entities'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina manufacturing35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We produce approximately 35% of our products at the facilities we own in China'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'We purchase certain products and key components from a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $90.05Resistance $102.24

Price Targets

$97
$100
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOGI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $96.57. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LOGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.20 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $96.57. Stop-loss: $96.57.

What are the risks of investing in LOGI?

Concentration risk — Customer: Amazon, Ingram Micro and TD Synnex; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5.

Is LOGI overvalued or undervalued?

Logitech International S.A. - R trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LOGI?

19 analysts cover LOGI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $109.

What does Logitech International S.A. - R do?Logitech designs software-enabled hardware including gaming peripherals, keyboards, pointing devices, video...

Logitech designs software-enabled hardware including gaming peripherals, keyboards, pointing devices, video collaboration, webcams, and headsets, sold globally across Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. Revenue comes from retailers, e-tailers, businesses, and direct e-commerce; ~35% of products manufactured in own China facilities.

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