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Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.93: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality.

Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile telecom services across Europe under brands including Telenet (Belgium) and Virgin Media (Ireland), with 50% JVs in the U.K. (Virgin Media O2) and Netherlands (VodafoneZiggo), providing ~80 million connections. Revenue comes... Read more

$11.93+5.1% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#32 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $11.16Target $12.57(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$14.45+21.2%13 analysts
$12.57our TP
$11.93price
$14.45mean
$10
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.93: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: MVNO arrangement with Three
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.7
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA10.3
Profit Mgn-146.3%
ROE-63.1%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C6.00bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$3-79.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierMVNO arrangement with Three
    10-K Item 1A: 'Currently, our services to mobile customers in Ireland rely on the use of an MVNO arrangement with Three, whereby we utilize the radio access networks of a third-party wireless network provider'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee of Liberty Global approved 2026 Performance Award metrics for executive officers on March 26, 2026, with payout of 0%-150% based on revenue, EBITDA, and strategic goal targets. No officer departures cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
6.6

Unprofitable operations — net margin -146.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
9.2
Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: 1 (fail)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 0 days
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.35Resistance $12.86

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7)
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LBTYA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.93: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $11.16. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LBTYA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.57 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $11.16. Stop-loss: $11.16.

What are the risks of investing in LBTYA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: MVNO arrangement with Three; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -0.8%), High leverage (D/E 5.7).

Is LBTYA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Global Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LBTYA?

19 analysts cover LBTYA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Liberty Global Ltd. do?Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile telecom services across Europe under brands including Telenet...

Liberty Global provides broadband, video, and mobile telecom services across Europe under brands including Telenet (Belgium) and Virgin Media (Ireland), with 50% JVs in the U.K. (Virgin Media O2) and Netherlands (VodafoneZiggo), providing ~80 million connections. Revenue comes from residential and B2B subscriptions across cable, broadband, and mobile. It also holds a $3.4B venture portfolio through Liberty Growth.

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