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GSLGlobal Ship Lease Inc NewBuy Wait5.8·$42.32
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Global Ship Lease combines deep value at 4.4 times forward earnings with high operational quality — net margins above 51% and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 — and improving estimate momentum, though thin headroom to the near-term target at spot and weak revenue growth are the key constraints on timing.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Quality Combination→Stable
  • High Quality Operating Profile→Stable
  • Earnings Consistency Estimate Revisions↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Ship Lease Inc New (GSL) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Wait for pullback to $39.73. At $42.32 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $39.73 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Global Ship Lease, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in owning and chartering out containerships under fixed-rate charters to container liner companies worldwide. As of March 12, 2026, it owned 71 mid-sized and smaller containerships, ranging from 2,207 to 11,040... Read more

$42.32+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#16 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.48%
IncomeYield5.91%(5y avg 6.02%)Payout23.42%sustainable
Entry $39.73(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $37.31Target $43.35(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$51.00+20.5%3 analysts
$43.35our TP
$42.32price
$51.00mean
$52

Wait for pullback to $39.73. At $42.32 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $39.73 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (2.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.1
P/E (Fwd)4.8
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA3.7
Profit Mgn50.4%
ROE21.3%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.95
Dividend5.91%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.9
Revenue Growth
3.0
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.27%=MODERATEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.1>=4.5No SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.28Resistance $46.20

Price Targets

$37
$40
$43
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GSL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $39.73. At $42.32 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $39.73 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (2.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $43.35 (+2.4%), stop $37.31 (−13.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.35 (+2.4% upside). Target $43.35 (+2.4%), stop $37.31 (−13.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $37.31.

What are the risks of investing in GSL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Is GSL overvalued or undervalued?

Global Ship Lease Inc New trades at a P/E of 4.1 (forward 4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GSL?

8 analysts cover GSL with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Global Ship Lease Inc New do?Global Ship Lease, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in owning and chartering out containerships under...

Global Ship Lease, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in owning and chartering out containerships under fixed-rate charters to container liner companies worldwide. As of March 12, 2026, it owned 71 mid-sized and smaller containerships, ranging from 2,207 to 11,040 (TEU), with an aggregate capacity of 423,003 TEU. Global Ship Lease, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.)
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